Illustrative Examples of How to Measure Influence Operations: Experimental and Statistical Methods for Causal Inference
Abstract:
National security influence professionals have always struggled with influence measures of effectiveness and operational assessments. This paper includes fictional examples that illustrate how experimental methods from psychological science can address this problem. Three fictional use cases are examined. A scientific approach to national security influence is essential to accumulating knowledge in this domain. Without it, the information operations community will continue to struggle to identify what works and why.
AUTHORS
Office of the] Deputy Commandant for Information Headquarters Marine Corps
Washington, D.C., United States of America
Dr. Douglas Bryant is an IO Effects Specialist at Headquarters Marine Corps, Deputy Commandant for Information. He has supported the U.S. Defense Department and intelligence community as a Principal Social & Behavioral Scientist at The MITRE Corporation. Dr. Bryant is a former U.S. Army all-source intelligence officer. He served at U.S. Army Special Forces Command (Airborne) from 2011 through 2014 and the Combined Joint Special Operations Task Force—Afghanistan in 2013. Dr. Bryant holds a master’s in psychology and a Ph.D. in cellular & behavioral neurobiology—psychology.
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Journal of Information Warfare
The definitive publication for the best and latest research and analysis on information warfare, information operations, and cyber crime. Available in traditional hard copy or online.
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